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Brief: ERCOT's First Glimpse of Summer Heat
May 15, 2025

Brief: ERCOT's First Glimpse of Summer Heat

But China's March crude imports offer positive demand signal

ES #136: U.S. Refiners Shift to Lighter Slates, Import Sources Consolidate
May 11, 2025

ES #136: U.S. Refiners Shift to Lighter Slates, Import Sources Consolidate

Trends in U.S. refinery slates and crude imports show steady consolidation in supplying countries and adaptation to lighter runs

ES #135: Offsetting OPEC's Supply Growth
May 04, 2025

ES #135: Offsetting OPEC's Supply Growth

Maximum pressure on Iran and Venezuela could more than offset May/June production increases from OPEC's voluntary cut crew.

ES #134: The EU's Slow Start to Summer Injection Season
Apr 27, 2025

ES #134: The EU's Slow Start to Summer Injection Season

EU injection pace lags historical rates despite European gas storage ending the winter with below-average inventories (1313 Bcf vs 1394 Bcf 10YR avg) after higher-than-normal withdrawals.

ES #133: Saudi-U.S. Price War or Preemptive Supply Elasticity?
Apr 20, 2025

ES #133: Saudi-U.S. Price War or Preemptive Supply Elasticity?

Analyzing Saudi Arabia's historical market balancing tendencies in low, medium, and high-price regimes points to two scenarios for global crude market participants as OPEC+ plans to bring 411 kb/d of production online in May 2024

ES #132: Restructuring S. America's Producer Hierarchy
Apr 13, 2025

ES #132: Restructuring S. America's Producer Hierarchy

Argentina has quietly emerged as South America's second-largest crude producer, reaching average daily output of 756 kb/d in December to generate the country's first energy trade surplus since 2003.

ES #131: China's Tariff Retaliation Taps Critical Mineral Leverage
Apr 06, 2025

ES #131: China's Tariff Retaliation Taps Critical Mineral Leverage

China responds to President Trump's reciprocal tariffs with a combination of retaliatory levies and export restrictions on critical minerals like rare earth magnets

ES #130: The Strategic Case for Greenland
Mar 30, 2025

ES #130: The Strategic Case for Greenland

Why the Trump administration's Greenland interest extends far beyond untapped critical minerals

ES #129: The DRC & Outsourced Energy Security
Mar 23, 2025

ES #129: The DRC & Outsourced Energy Security

M23 rebels captured new territory in mineral-rich provinces in the Democratic Republic of Congo, the source of over 70% of global cobalt production and 10% of global copper supplies.

ES #128: Tripling Global Nuclear Generation by 2050
Mar 16, 2025

ES #128: Tripling Global Nuclear Generation by 2050

Tech giants sign up to support the World Nuclear Association's goal of tripling global nuclear power generation capacity by 2050

ES #127: The IEA's Peak Demand Fallacy
Mar 09, 2025

ES #127: The IEA's Peak Demand Fallacy

The IEA predicted a plateau or peak in global coal demand four times in four years... and was wrong each time. Asia's geopolitical and socioeconomic priorities will continue to dictate energy policy.

ES #126: The Five Year Lead Time for New Gas Turbines
Mar 02, 2025

ES #126: The Five Year Lead Time for New Gas Turbines

Generation retirements to remove an outsized share of coal, natural gas, and petroleum-fired capacity from the US grid between 2025-2027 with replacements from solar, wind, and batteries.

Award-winning macro and commodity market research for deeper insights in less time.

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Award-winning macro and commodity market research for deeper insights in less time.

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