Mobius Market Research

Dec 10, 2025

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Daily Market Update - December 10, 2025

Today in oil and natural gas markets:

Oct 29, 2025

Premium

Daily Market Update - October 29, 2025

Today in oil and natural gas markets:

Apr 15, 2025

Brief: $850B Net Short US Treasuries

Leveraged funds' net short futures and options position in UST 10Y falls by a record $32 billion week-on-week, raising the combined net short position in UST 2Y, 5Y, 10Y to -$849.9 billion.

Mar 04, 2025

Brief: GDP and FX to Amplify Tariff Squeeze

How much the Canadian and Mexican economies rely on trade with the United States

Jan 08, 2025

Brief: The US Debt Ceiling, Strong Dollar, & Surging Sovereign Bond Yields

The Jan 1 expiration of the US debt ceiling suspension enacted under the Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 leaves the Treasury Department with just one to two weeks until the US reaches its new debt limit.

Dec 19, 2024

Brief: Dollar Jumps, Rate Cut Bets Falter

Market bets for >50 bps of rate cuts by the Fed's Sep. '25 meeting drop to 7.5% from over 70% two months ago.

Oct 23, 2024

Short $1.14 Trillion with Interest Rate Risk

Treasuries plummet, dollar jumps, and leveraged funds create a feedback loop of margin risk.

Sep 24, 2024

China's Sentiment Stimulus

The People's Bank of China releases stimulus measures with questionable impact on infrastructure spending and near-term industrial commodity demand

Sep 11, 2024

25 or 50?

How today's inflation data compares to its historical distribution and a closer look at today's rate cut bets.

Sep 04, 2024

Monitoring US Industry, Labor, Yields

Survey responses, labor trends, and the effects of this week's market-moving economic indicators

Aug 29, 2024

Germany's Economic Ripple Effect

Germany's sagging economic outlook must contend with the ECB's hawkish outlook

Aug 20, 2024

Tracking to Recession

2s10s historical accuracy, record shorts, carry unwind