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ES #133: Saudi-U.S. Price War or Preemptive Supply Elasticity?

ES #133: Saudi-U.S. Price War or Preemptive Supply Elasticity?

Analyzing Saudi Arabia's historical market balancing tendencies in low, medium, and high-price regimes points to two scenarios for global crude market participants as OPEC+ plans to bring 411 kb/d of production online in May 2024

Brief: Midwest Product Stocks Rapidly Deplete in April

Brief: Midwest Product Stocks Rapidly Deplete in April

Midwest (PADD 2) product stocks collapse after holding above 5YR seasonal range for first quarter of 2025

Brief: March Iranian, Venezuelan Output Shows Limited Impact of Maximum Pressure Campaign 2.0

Brief: March Iranian, Venezuelan Output Shows Limited Impact of Maximum Pressure Campaign 2.0

OPEC's March production data from the April 2025 MOMR shows limited immediate effects of the Trump administration's reinstated maximum pressure campaign on Iran

Mobius Market Research

ES #133: Saudi-U.S. Price War or Preemptive Supply Elasticity?

ES #133: Saudi-U.S. Price War or Preemptive Supply Elasticity?

Analyzing Saudi Arabia's historical market balancing tendencies in low, medium, and high-price regimes points to two scenarios for global crude market participants as OPEC+ plans to bring 411 kb/d of production online in May 2024

Brief: Midwest Product Stocks Rapidly Deplete in April

Brief: Midwest Product Stocks Rapidly Deplete in April

Midwest (PADD 2) product stocks collapse after holding above 5YR seasonal range for first quarter of 2025

Brief: March Iranian, Venezuelan Output Shows Limited Impact of Maximum Pressure Campaign 2.0

Brief: March Iranian, Venezuelan Output Shows Limited Impact of Maximum Pressure Campaign 2.0

OPEC's March production data from the April 2025 MOMR shows limited immediate effects of the Trump administration's reinstated maximum pressure campaign on Iran

Brief: $850B Net Short US Treasuries

Brief: $850B Net Short US Treasuries

Leveraged funds' net short futures and options position in UST 10Y falls by a record $32 billion week-on-week, raising the combined net short position in UST 2Y, 5Y, 10Y to -$849.9 billion.

CoT: Fund Managers Caught Wrong-Footed on Brent

CoT: Fund Managers Caught Wrong-Footed on Brent

A closer look at fund managers' energy market futures and options positioning

Daily Market Update - April 14, 2025
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Daily Market Update - April 14, 2025

Today in oil and natural gas markets:

ES #132: Restructuring S. America's Producer Hierarchy

ES #132: Restructuring S. America's Producer Hierarchy

Argentina has quietly emerged as South America's second-largest crude producer, reaching average daily output of 756 kb/d in December to generate the country's first energy trade surplus since 2003.

Brief: U.S. Energy Exports & China's Retaliatory Tariffs

Brief: U.S. Energy Exports & China's Retaliatory Tariffs

Which U.S. energy exports will be most impacted by China's retaliatory tariffs on imported U.S. goods?

Daily Market Update - April 10, 2025
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Daily Market Update - April 10, 2025

Today in oil and natural gas markets:

Brief: The Largest Foreign Holders of U.S. Treasuries

Brief: The Largest Foreign Holders of U.S. Treasuries

Which countries have the largest holdings of U.S. Treasuries?

Daily Market Update - April 9, 2025
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Daily Market Update - April 9, 2025

Today in oil and natural gas markets:

Brief: Record Conventional & LNG Bunker Sales

Brief: Record Conventional & LNG Bunker Sales

The Port of Singapore's 2024 bunkering statistics show a record year for total bunker demand and sales of alternative fuels like LNG as shipping firms routed vessels away from Red Sea conflict risks.